Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Harrogate Town 0-1 Hartlepool United
With Hartlepool slightly improving since appointing Curle, we think that they will do just enough to win this one, in a closely-fought game. Umerah is likely to be the difference-maker if there is to be one, given his impressive start to the season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Hartlepool United |
43.79% ( -0.11) | 27.05% ( 0.02) | 29.17% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.84% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( -0.02) | 56.11% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.83% ( -0.02) | 77.18% ( 0.02) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( -0.06) | 25.44% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.74% ( -0.09) | 60.27% ( 0.09) |
| Hartlepool United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% ( 0.06) | 34.5% ( -0.06) |
