SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
47.73% ( -0.43) | 26.06% ( 0.11) | 26.22% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( -0.18) | 53.96% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.59% ( -0.15) | 75.41% ( 0.15) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( -0.27) | 22.62% ( 0.27) |
