Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-4 Barnsley
Tuesday, October 11 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 11 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Doncaster Rovers
With the sides separated by just one place in the League Two table, it is clear that they are evenly-matched and so we think that they will cancel each other out here. Not only that, but Carlisle have made a habit of drawing games recently, so the same again is likely here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
42.2% ( 0.05) | 26.99% ( 0.01) | 30.81% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.74% ( -0.06) | 55.26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.52% ( -0.05) | 76.48% ( 0.05) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.13% ( -0) | 25.87% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.15% ( -0) | 60.85% ( -0) |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.17% ( -0.08) | 32.83% ( 0.08) |
