SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
33.92% ( 0.04) | 24.72% ( 0.01) | 41.37% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 58.29% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.23% ( -0.05) | 44.77% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.87% ( -0.05) | 67.13% ( 0.05) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.4% ( -0) | 25.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.53% ( -0) | 60.47% ( 0.01) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.34% ( -0.05) | 21.66% ( 0.05) |
