SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
35.02% ( 0.11) | 24.54% ( 0.03) | 40.44% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 59.19% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.29% ( -0.14) | 43.7% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.9% ( -0.13) | 66.09% ( 0.13) |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.54% ( -0) | 24.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.1% ( -0) | 58.89% |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.13) | 21.64% ( 0.13) |
