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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
BR
Cheltenham
1 - 4
Bristol Rovers
Sercombe (54' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-4)
Collins (15', 45+2'), Evans (23'), Thomas (42')
Gibson (71')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-2 Bristol Rovers

Bristol Rovers have won their last two league games and this puts them in a good position to pick up a positive result in this fixture. However, with Cheltenham being on good form at home and their most recent defeat being to a difficult Sheffield Wednesday side, we expect them to put on a good performance and therefore a draw seems the most likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
43.29% (-0.0040000000000049 -0) 25.5% (0.0030000000000001 0) 31.21% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 54.64% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.91% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)49.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.16% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.4% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)22.6% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.79% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.21% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.59% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)29.41% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (-0.012 -0.01)65.4% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 43.29%
    Bristol Rovers 31.21%
    Draw 25.49%
Cheltenham TownDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.64%
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 12.09%
0-0 @ 6.65% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.49%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.4%
0-2 @ 4.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.03%
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 31.21%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sheff Weds 3-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Bolton
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Walsall
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cambridge
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-0 Palace U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-6 Lincoln
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth19126132161642
2Bolton WanderersBolton18123337181939
3Oxford UnitedOxford Utd18113431181336
4Stevenage20106429191036
5Peterborough UnitedPeterborough19105437201735
6Derby CountyDerby18103531161533
7Barnsley1894534201431
8Blackpool208663325830
9Lincoln CityLincoln208662620630
10Charlton AthleticCharlton187563025526
11Bristol Rovers186662423124
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2073101227-1524
13Northampton TownNorthampton1972102126-523
14Wigan AthleticWigan199373023722
15Wycombe WanderersWycombe186482327-422
16Leyton Orient195771824-622
17Burton Albion195591627-1120
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge195591425-1120
19Port Vale185491427-1319
20Exeter CityExeter1853101229-1718
21Fleetwood TownFleetwood1844101831-1316
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1936101526-1115
23Reading1852112230-813
24Cheltenham TownCheltenham1833121027-1712
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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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