SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
38.88% ( 0.21) | 25.95% ( -0.03) | 35.17% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 54.31% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.97% ( 0.12) | 50.03% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28% ( 0.11) | 72% ( -0.1) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.17) | 25.24% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.01% ( 0.24) | 60% ( -0.23) |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.65% ( -0.05) | 27.35% ( 0.05) |
