SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Barrow |
30.06% ( -1.15) | 26.21% ( -0.2) | 43.72% ( 1.35) |
| Both teams to score 51.8% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.48% ( 0.37) | 52.52% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.81% ( 0.31) | 74.18% ( -0.32) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.04% ( -0.63) | 31.95% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.59% ( -0.72) | 68.41% ( 0.72) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.12% ( 0.83) | 23.88% ( -0.84) |
