SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Barrow |
41.21% ( -1.12) | 27.93% ( 0.36) | 30.86% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% ( -1.05) | 58.73% ( 1.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% ( -0.82) | 79.26% ( 0.83) |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.98% ( -1.1) | 28.03% ( 1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.33% ( -1.42) | 63.67% ( 1.43) |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.39% ( 0.01) | 34.61% ( -0.01) |
