SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 38.23%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Crewe Alexandra in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crewe Alexandra.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
38.23% ( -0.02) | 25.24% ( -0) | 36.53% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.88% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.22% ( 0.01) | 46.78% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( 0) | 69.04% ( -0.01) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.88% ( -0.01) | 24.12% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.58% ( -0.01) | 58.42% ( 0.01) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.96% ( 0.01) | 25.04% ( -0.01) |
