MX23RW : Sunday, February 12 00:51:41
SM
Sunday, February 12
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK at Alexandra Stadium
Crewe
1 - 0
Tranmere
Colkett (34')
Agyei (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Davies (72')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Tranmere
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Tranmere Rovers

Tranmere have already defeated Crewe twice this season, running out comfortable 3-0 winners in the home clash, so there is no reason why they should not be able to secure another victory on Sunday. The Rovers have had a solid defence throughout the season, and so they are likely to keep a clean sheet, but their lack of goals means they should only win by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.27%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.52%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
25.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 27.57% (0.004999999999999 0) 47.27% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)60.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)80.27% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)76.64% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)25.49% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)60.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 25.16%
    Tranmere Rovers 47.27%
    Draw 27.56%
Crewe AlexandraDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-1 @ 5.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 4.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 1.79% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 25.16%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.19%
2-2 @ 4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.56%
0-1 @ 13.93%
0-2 @ 9.52% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 8.73% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 47.27%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Carlisle
Thursday, December 29 at 7pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-0 Crewe
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-2 Newport
Friday, December 2 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Barnsley 3-0 Crewe
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Swindon 0-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 1-2 Tranmere
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 3-0 Doncaster
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Tranmere
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Northampton 0-0 Tranmere
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-1 Tranmere (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Tranmere 0-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
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League Two Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leyton Orient30196539172263
2Stevenage27168339182156
3Carlisle UnitedCarlisle29149648282051
4Northampton TownNorthampton28148642281450
5Salford City29146940291148
6Mansfield TownMansfield2812794137443
7Stockport CountyStockport281261039271242
8Swindon TownSwindon2811983730742
9Bradford CityBradford2711973226642
10BarrowBarrow29125123438-441
11Doncaster RoversDoncaster28124123340-740
12Sutton UnitedSutton29117112835-740
13AFC Wimbledon2810993029139
14Walsall2610883023738
15Tranmere RoversTranmere29108113128338
16Grimsby Town2596102932-333
17Colchester UnitedColchester3087153038-831
18Crewe AlexandraCrewe27710102134-1331
19Newport CountyNewport2778122631-529
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2776143341-827
21Crawley TownCrawley2667132942-1325
22Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool2967162952-2325
23Gillingham2759131531-1624
24Rochdale2955192344-2120
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