SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northampton Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
38.01% ( -0.2) | 28.34% ( 0.16) | 33.65% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.63% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.39% ( -0.56) | 59.62% ( 0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% ( -0.44) | 79.95% ( 0.44) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.7% ( -0.4) | 30.31% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.52% ( -0.48) | 66.49% ( 0.49) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( -0.26) | 33.1% ( 0.27) |
