SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Northampton Town |
36.88% ( -0.34) | 27.47% ( -0.03) | 35.64% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 49.4% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( 0.14) | 56.25% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( 0.11) | 77.29% ( -0.12) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.14) | 29.33% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.69% ( -0.17) | 65.3% ( 0.16) |
| Northampton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.91% ( 0.3) | 30.09% ( -0.31) |
