SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
47.69% ( 0.07) | 25.68% ( -0.02) | 26.63% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.22% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( 0.07) | 52.22% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( 0.06) | 73.92% ( -0.06) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.1% ( 0.06) | 21.9% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.84% ( 0.09) | 55.16% ( -0.09) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.58% ( 0) | 34.42% ( -0) |
