SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Leyton Orient |
33.1% ( -0.05) | 28.26% ( 0) | 38.64% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.74% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.57% ( -0.01) | 59.43% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.2% ( -0.01) | 79.8% ( 0.01) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( -0.04) | 33.38% ( 0.04) |
