SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 51.41%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 22.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
51.41% ( 0.03) | 26.03% ( 0) | 22.55% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.3% ( -0.04) | 56.7% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.35% ( -0.03) | 77.65% ( 0.03) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.87% ( -0) | 22.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.49% ( -0) | 55.51% ( -0) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.44% ( -0.06) | 40.56% ( 0.05) |
