We said: Swindon Town 1-1 Colchester United
Colchester have looked much better on two fronts since the arrival of their new manager, and a first win under Matt Bloomfield in the league last week will have done wonders for their confidence.
Swindon will go into the game as favourites but may not know what to expect from a side under new management.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.67%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swindon Town in this match.
| Result |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Colchester United |
56.67% ( -0.01) | 24.14% | 19.2% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.06% ( 0.01) |
| 46.72% ( 0) | 53.28% ( -0) |
| 25.17% ( 0) | 74.83% ( -0) |
| 81.34% ( -0) | 18.66% |
