Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.59%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 24.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.79%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Colchester United |
47.59% ( -0.07) | 28.02% ( -0.04) | 24.38% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 42.91% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.98% ( 0.17) | 62.01% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.25% ( 0.13) | 81.75% ( -0.13) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.76% ( 0.05) | 26.24% ( -0.05) |