SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Bradford City |
32.5% ( -0.21) | 26.36% ( -0.08) | 41.14% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.35% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.73% ( 0.27) | 52.27% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% ( 0.23) | 73.97% ( -0.23) |
| Tranmere Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( -0) | 30.14% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.72% ( -0) | 66.28% ( 0.01) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.93% ( 0.28) | 25.07% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.25% ( 0.38) | 59.75% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Bradford City |
| 1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 53 | 26 | 27 | 51 |
| 2 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 20 | 24 | 49 |
| 3 | Wrexham | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 36 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | BarrowBarrow | 26 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 48 |
| 5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 44 |
| 6 | Notts County | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | AFC Wimbledon | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 39 |
| 8 | MK Dons | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 26 | 12 | 3 | 11 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 38 |
| 11 | Gillingham | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 38 |
| 12 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 13 | Walsall | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 36 |
| 14 | Bradford CityBradford | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 34 |
| 15 | Swindon TownSwindon | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 34 |
| 16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 27 | 10 | 3 | 14 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 33 |
| 17 | Morecambe | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 33 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 31 |
| 19 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Grimsby Town | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 27 |
| 21 | Salford City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 24 |
| 22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 27 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 24 |
| 23 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 18 |
| 24 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 18 |
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