SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 36.44% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Gillingham |
36.44% ( -0.82) | 26.09% ( 0.02) | 37.46% ( 0.8) |
| Both teams to score 53.91% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.42% ( -0.07) | 50.57% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.51% ( -0.06) | 72.49% ( 0.06) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( -0.5) | 26.86% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.83% ( -0.66) | 62.17% ( 0.66) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( 0.42) | 26.28% ( -0.42) |
