SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 37.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (5.97%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
37.17% ( -0.01) | 25.17% ( -0) | 37.66% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.15% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.55% ( 0.02) | 46.45% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.27% ( 0.02) | 68.73% ( -0.02) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.47% ( 0) | 24.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.99% | 59.01% ( 0) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.73% ( 0.02) | 24.27% ( -0.02) |
