SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 34.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Salford City |
39.9% ( 0.03) | 25.48% ( 0) | 34.62% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.8% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.93% ( -0.01) | 48.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.76% ( -0.01) | 70.24% ( 0.01) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.17% ( 0.01) | 23.83% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.99% ( 0.01) | 58% ( -0.02) |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( -0.03) | 26.75% ( 0.03) |
