Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 41.6%. A win for Sevilla has a probability of 30.38% and a draw has a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Sevilla win is 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.1%).
-0.07) 
0.21) 
