Three of the last five La Liga matches between these two sides have finished 0-0, and we are expecting it to be a tight affair on Sunday; another draw cannot be ruled out, but we just have a feeling that Athletic will be able to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 70.84%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.22%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
0.45) 
-0.28) 
