Only one of the last five La Liga meetings between these two sides has finished level, but we are finding it difficult to separate them here; Sevilla have home advantage, but Mallorca have five away wins to their name this term, and we are predicting a low-scoring draw at Estadio Ramon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 44.63%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
-0.19) 
0.22) 
