Las Palmas' injury problems have come at the worst possible stage, and Mallorca will be looking to take advantage of the fact that the away side will be without a number of key players; it would not be a shock to see the points shared here, but we just have a feeling that the home team will be able to shade a close match.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 49.54%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mallorca would win this match.
0.14) 
-0.04) 
