Pacos de Ferreira 3-1 Rio Ave - Primeira Liga - May 21, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Looking at past results between the sides, we anticipate a cagey affair at the Estadio Capital do Movel. Rio Ave have struggled for results away from home, where they have managed just two wins in the league this season, and we predict that Pacos de Ferreira will come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 48.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 25.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Rio Ave
25.71% ( 0.29)	25.72% ( 0.03)	48.57% ( -0.31)

Both teams to score 50.32% (

0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.99% (

0.1)

53.01% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.39% (

0.08)

74.6% (

-0.09)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.38% (

0.3)

35.62% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.61% (

0.31)

72.39% (

-0.31)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.16% (

-0.1)

21.84% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.93% (

-0.15)

55.07% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 25.71%

Rio Ave 48.57%

Draw 25.71%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Rio Ave
1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.98% Total : 25.71%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.71%	0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.57%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	34	28	3	3	82	20	62	87
2	Porto	34	27	4	3	73	22	51	85
3	Braga	33	24	3	6	72	30	42	75
4	Sporting Lisbon	34	23	5	6	71	32	39	74
5	Arouca Arouca	34	15	9	10	36	37	-1	54
6	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	34	16	5	13	34	39	-5	53
7	Chaves Chaves	34	12	10	12	35	40	-5	46
8	Famalicao Famalicao	34	13	5	16	39	47	-8	44
9	Boavista Boavista	34	12	8	14	43	54	-11	44
10	Casa Pia	34	11	8	15	31	40	-9	41
11	Vizela	34	11	7	16	34	38	-4	40
12	Rio Ave Rio Ave	34	10	10	14	36	43	-7	40
13	Gil Vicente	34	10	7	17	32	41	-9	37
14	Estoril Praia Estoril	34	10	5	19	33	49	-16	35
15	Portimonense Portimonense	34	10	4	20	25	48	-23	34
16	Maritimo	34	7	5	22	32	63	-31	26
17	Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira	33	6	5	22	26	59	-33	23
R	Santa Clara Santa Clara	34	5	7	22	26	58	-32	22

Form, Standings, Stats