SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Chaves in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Chaves.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
44.91% ( -0.24) | 26.15% ( -0.05) | 28.94% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 51.37% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% ( 0.33) | 52.78% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.59% ( 0.28) | 74.41% ( -0.28) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.58% ( 0.02) | 23.42% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 42.58% ( 0.04) | 57.42% ( -0.04) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.39) | 32.92% ( -0.39) |
