SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.13%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 12.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.59%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Porto in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Porto |
12.69% ( -0.01) | 18.18% ( -0) | 69.13% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.33% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.05% ( 0.01) | 39.95% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.69% ( 0.01) | 62.32% ( -0.01) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.34% ( -0) | 42.66% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21% ( -0) | 79.01% ( 0.01) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.52% ( 0.01) | 10.48% ( -0) |
