Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
