SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.16% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (10.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
39.61% ( -0.13) | 28.22% ( 0.18) | 32.16% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 46.64% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.55% ( -0.64) | 59.45% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.18% ( -0.5) | 79.82% ( 0.5) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( -0.39) | 29.28% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.76% ( -0.48) | 65.24% ( 0.48) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( -0.37) | 34.05% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.27% ( -0.4) | 70.73% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 12.24% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.59% Total : 39.61% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.34% Total : 32.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 33 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 20 | 59 | 84 |
| 2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
| 3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
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