Valencia are struggling to pick up wins at the moment, but the same cannot be said for Athletic, who will now have sixth-placed Real Sociedad in their sights. Valencia are capable of picking up a positive result here, but we are backing Athletic to secure all three points courtesy of a narrow success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 55.97%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
