Athletic are unbeaten at home in the league since the end of December, winning four of their last five matches in front of their own supporters, and we are expecting the Basque outfit to secure another three points this weekend at the expense of an out-of-form Celta side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 51.36%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
