Cadiz's win over Barcelona would have done so much for their confidence, and they will fancy their chances of causing Athletic problems on Thursday. The Basque outfit do not often lose on their travels, but they have not won too many either, so we have had to settle on a low-scoring draw here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
