SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
| 9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 0 | 46 |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | -11 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.72%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
35.9% ( 0.07) | 26.37% ( 0.02) | 37.72% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.2% ( -0.1) | 51.8% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.44% ( -0.08) | 73.56% ( 0.08) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.23% ( -0) | 27.76% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.66% ( -0) | 63.34% ( 0.01) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.1) | 26.7% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.04% ( -0.13) | 61.96% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.9% | 1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 11 | 49 | 82 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 34 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 32 | 38 | 71 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 69 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 52 | 35 | 17 | 57 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 52 |
| 7 | GironaGirona | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 48 |
| 8 | Sevilla | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 49 | -5 | 47 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 10 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 38 | 6 | 47 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 46 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 39 |
| 14 | Valencia | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 37 |
| 15 | Almeria | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 61 | -18 | 36 |
| 16 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 35 |
| 17 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 35 |
| 18 | Getafe | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 34 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 31 |
| R | ElcheElche | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 26 | 64 | -38 | 19 |
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