Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 37.62%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
