Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 7 | 55 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | -5 | 48 |
10 | Osasuna | 38 | -14 | 47 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Sevilla | 38 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Real Betis |
33.2% ( 0) | 26.62% ( -0.01) | 40.17% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( 0.03) | 53.18% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( 0.03) | 74.74% ( -0.03) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.87% ( 0.02) | 30.12% ( -0.02) |