SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 37.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.64%) and 0-2 (5.32%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 2-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%).
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Chelsea |
| 37.83% | 23.5% | 38.67% |
| Both teams to score 63.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.64% | 38.36% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.35% | 60.65% |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% | 20.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.9% | 53.1% |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% | 20.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.53% | 52.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 8.31% 1-0 @ 6.56% 2-0 @ 5.19% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-2 @ 1.39% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.96% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 2-2 @ 6.65% 0-0 @ 4.15% 3-3 @ 1.87% Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.5% | 1-2 @ 8.41% 0-1 @ 6.64% 0-2 @ 5.32% 1-3 @ 4.49% 2-3 @ 3.55% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.8% 2-4 @ 1.42% 0-4 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.08% Total : 38.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 74 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 28 | 50 | 70 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 59 |
| 4 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 30 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 56 |
| 5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 53 |
| 6 | Aston Villa | 31 | 15 | 5 | 11 | 44 | 40 | 4 | 50 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 49 |
| 8 | Liverpool | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 56 | 36 | 20 | 47 |
| 9 | Brentford | 31 | 10 | 13 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Fulham | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 42 |
| 11 | Chelsea | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 39 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 42 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Bournemouth | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 33 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 29 |
| 17 | Everton | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 46 | -22 | 27 |
| 18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 24 | 56 | -32 | 27 |
| 19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 25 |
| 20 | Southampton | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 24 | 53 | -29 | 23 |
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