Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain had a probability of 28% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
