SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.75%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 9.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.67%) and 1-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.95%), while for a Leeds United win it was 2-1 (2.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Chelsea |
9.35% ( 0.22) | 14.9% ( 0.22) | 75.75% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 51.48% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.3% ( -0.39) | 33.7% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.47% ( -0.45) | 55.53% ( 0.45) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.6% ( 0.16) | 44.4% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.55% ( 0.13) | 80.45% ( -0.13) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.59% ( -0.18) | 7.41% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.31% ( -0.46) | 26.69% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Chelsea |
| 2-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.78% Total : 9.35% | 1-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.29% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.99% Total : 14.9% | 0-2 @ 11.14% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 9.67% ( -0.07)1-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 7.85% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 6.29% ( -0.11)1-4 @ 5.11% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 3.28% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.42% ( -0.05)1-6 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)2-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 75.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 58 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 24 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 41 | 28 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 45 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 39 |
| 7 | Fulham | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 39 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 29 | 14 | 38 |
| 9 | Brentford | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 25 |
| 15 | Leicester CityLeicester | 25 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 24 |
| 16 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 22 |
| 18 | Everton | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 21 |
| 19 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
| 20 | Bournemouth | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 21 |
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