SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Liverpool | 38 | 68 | 92 |
| 3 | Chelsea | 38 | 43 | 74 |
| 4 | Tottenham Hotspur | 38 | 29 | 71 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | West Ham United | 38 | 9 | 56 |
| 8 | Leicester City | 38 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 60.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 18.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-2 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Leicester City |
60.15% ( -3.25) | 20.87% ( 1.37) | 18.98% ( 1.89) |
| Both teams to score 57.08% ( -1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.22% ( -3.22) | 39.77% ( 3.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.87% ( -3.42) | 62.13% ( 3.42) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( -1.87) | 12.85% ( 1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.78% ( -3.98) | 39.22% ( 3.98) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.49% ( 0.12) | 34.51% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.78% ( 0.13) | 71.22% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.06)1-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.7)3-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.45)3-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.45)3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.23)4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.52)4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.5)4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.34)5-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.32)Other @ 3.61% Total : 60.15% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.63)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.87% | 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.69)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.9% Total : 18.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 48 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 39 |
| 8 | Fulham | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Brentford | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 38 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
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