SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Everton | 38 | -23 | 39 |
| 17 | Leeds United | 38 | -37 | 38 |
| 18 | Burnley | 38 | -19 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Leicester City | 38 | 3 | 52 |
| 9 | Brighton & Hove Albion | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | Wolverhampton Wanderers | 38 | -5 | 51 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 1-0 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
25.86% ( 0.39) | 23.96% ( 0.14) | 50.17% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 55.99% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.39% ( -0.27) | 45.61% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.06% ( -0.26) | 67.94% ( 0.26) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.48% ( 0.17) | 31.52% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.09% ( 0.19) | 67.91% ( -0.19) |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.77% ( -0.31) | 18.23% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.73% ( -0.52) | 49.26% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
| 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 25.86% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 5.45% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 2.01% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 59 | 25 | 34 | 63 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 27 | 15 | 3 | 9 | 49 | 37 | 12 | 48 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 17 | 18 | 41 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 31 | 14 | 39 |
| 8 | Fulham | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 39 |
| 9 | Brentford | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 38 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 37 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 34 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 27 |
| 14 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 25 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | Bournemouth | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 51 | -26 | 24 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 23 |
| 19 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 23 |
| 20 | Southampton | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
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