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Mar 16, 2022 at 8pm UK at Stade Lille-Metropole
Lille
1 - 2
Chelsea
Yilmaz (38' pen.)
Gudmundsson (43'), Fonte (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pulisic (45+3'), Azpilicueta (71')
Chalobah (34')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Lille had a probability of 20.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.23%) and 1-2 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.93%), while for a Lille win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawChelsea
20.59%28.64%50.76%
Both teams to score 37.83%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
33.55%66.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.11%84.89%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.66%48.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.52%83.48%
Chelsea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.23%26.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.96%62.04%
Score Analysis
    Lille 20.59%
    Chelsea 50.75%
    Draw 28.63%
LilleDrawChelsea
1-0 @ 9.41%
2-1 @ 4.51%
2-0 @ 3.42%
3-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 20.59%
0-0 @ 12.93%
1-1 @ 12.39%
2-2 @ 2.97%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 28.63%
0-1 @ 17.05%
0-2 @ 11.23%
1-2 @ 8.17%
0-3 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 3.59%
0-4 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.31%
1-4 @ 1.18%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 50.75%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 0-0 St Etienne
Friday, March 11 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 4-0 Clermont
Sunday, March 6 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-1 Lille
Sunday, February 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lille 0-0 Metz
Friday, February 18 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 0-1 Lille
Saturday, February 12 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Newcastle
Sunday, March 13 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Norwich 1-3 Chelsea
Thursday, March 10 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Burnley 0-4 Chelsea
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Luton 2-3 Chelsea
Wednesday, March 2 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 0-0 Liverpool (10-11 pen.)
Sunday, February 27 at 4.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 2-0 Lille
Tuesday, February 22 at 8pm in Champions League
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38296399267393
2Liverpool38288294266892
3Chelsea382111676334374
4Tottenham HotspurSpurs382251169402971
5Arsenal382231361481369
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd381610125757058
7West Ham UnitedWest Ham38168146051956
8Leicester CityLeicester381410146259352
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381215114244-251
10Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38156173843-551
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381310154462-1849
12Crystal Palace381115125046448
13Brentford38137184856-846
14Aston Villa38136195254-245
15Southampton38913164367-2440
16Everton38116214366-2339
17Leeds UnitedLeeds38911184279-3738
RBurnley38714173453-1935
RWatford3865273477-4323
RNorwich CityNorwich3857262384-6122
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Championship Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CFulham4627910106436390
3Huddersfield TownHuddersfield4623131064471782
5Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd4621121363451875
6Luton TownLuton462112136355875
7Middlesbrough462010165950970
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn461912155950969
9Millwall461815135345869
10West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom461813155245767
11Queens Park RangersQPR46199186059166
12Coventry CityCoventry461713166059164
13Preston North EndPreston461616145256-464
14Stoke CityStoke461711185752562
15Swansea CitySwansea461613175868-1061
16Blackpool461612185458-460
17Bristol City461510216277-1555
18Cardiff CityCardiff46158235068-1853
19Hull City46149234154-1351
20Birmingham CityBirmingham461114215075-2547
21Reading46138255487-3341
RPeterborough UnitedPeterborough46910274387-4437
RDerby CountyDerby461413194553-834
RBarnsley46612283373-4030
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