Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 75.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Norwich City had a probability of 8.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.67%) and 0-3 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Norwich City win it was 1-0 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.