With David enduring a dry spell in front of goal and Lille flattering to deceive in front of their own fans in recent weeks, the stage could be set for another shock Clermont victory.
However, the visitors are fighting an uphill battle to break down this staunch Dogues backline, and we expect the champions' defensive resilience to see them through to a routine success, so long as they can discover some sort of attacking bite.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (6.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
