SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
| 2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Madrid |
15.91% ( -0.26) | 20.78% ( -0.31) | 63.31% ( 0.57) |
| Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.85) | 44.69% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( 0.82) | 67.05% ( -0.82) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.97% ( 0.17) | 41.03% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.42% ( 0.16) | 77.58% ( -0.15) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( 0.44) | 13.46% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.54% ( 0.88) | 40.46% ( -0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 15.91% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 20.78% | 0-2 @ 11.1% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.23)1-2 @ 9.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.42% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 6.61% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 3.72% ( 0.11)1-4 @ 3.32% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.06)0-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 1.33% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.92% Total : 63.3% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barcelona | 28 | 23 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 9 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 59 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 45 | 20 | 25 | 57 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 51 |
| 5 | Real BetisBetis | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 48 |
| 6 | Villarreal | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Athletic Bilbao | 29 | 12 | 7 | 10 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 43 |
| 8 | Rayo Vallecano | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 40 |
| 9 | Osasuna | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 38 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 36 |
| 11 | GironaGirona | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 35 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 34 |
| 13 | Sevilla | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 32 |
| 14 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 32 |
| 15 | CadizCadiz | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 31 |
| 16 | Almeria | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 30 |
| 17 | Getafe | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 | Valencia | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 27 |
| 19 | Espanyol | 29 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 27 |
| 20 | ElcheElche | 28 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 13 |
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