Barcelona have shown immense improvement in recent weeks, and there is no question that Real Madrid will be wary of their bitter rivals in this game. There have been bigger Clasicos in recent years, but matches between these two sides are always gigantic, and we are struggling to separate them here, ultimately settling on a 1-1 draw, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
