SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 29.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
29.26% ( -0.55) | 23.27% ( -0.01) | 47.46% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 61.2% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.01% ( -0.26) | 39.99% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.64% ( -0.27) | 62.35% ( 0.27) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% ( -0.49) | 26.15% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.77% ( -0.66) | 61.22% ( 0.66) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( 0.11) | 17.13% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.65% ( 0.2) | 47.34% ( -0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 7.11% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.26% | 1-1 @ 10.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.26% | 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.1% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0)Other @ 4.08% Total : 47.46% |
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