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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 49.58%. A win for Arsenal had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Arsenal win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-7 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Arsenal |
49.58% ( 2.61) | 22.56% ( -1.19) | 27.85% ( -1.42) |
| Both teams to score 62.67% ( 3.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.41% ( 4.69) | 37.59% ( -4.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.17% ( 4.86) | 59.82% ( -4.86) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( 2.75) | 15.45% ( -2.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.68% ( 4.9) | 44.31% ( -4.9) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.12% ( 1.43) | 25.87% ( -1.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.15% ( 1.89) | 60.85% ( -1.89) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Arsenal |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -1)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.24)3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.55)3-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.52)4-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.47)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.28)4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.38)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.25)Other @ 3.92% Total : 49.59% | 1-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.9) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.29)0-0 @ 4% ( -0.97)3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.29)Other @ 0.31% Total : 22.56% | 1-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.31) 0-1 @ 5.41% ( -1.05)0-2 @ 3.65% ( -0.53)1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.36% Total : 27.85% |
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