SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.97%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Leicester City had a probability of 15.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Leicester City win it was 1-0 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Arsenal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City | Draw | Arsenal |
15.34% ( -0.05) | 19.69% ( -0.03) | 64.97% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.07% ( 0.04) | 40.93% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.68% ( 0.04) | 63.32% ( -0.04) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( -0.05) | 39.48% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.83% ( -0.04) | 76.16% ( 0.04) |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.15% ( 0.03) | 11.84% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.88% ( 0.07) | 37.11% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.42% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.9% Total : 15.34% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.69% | 0-2 @ 10.63% 0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.57% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.27% 2-4 @ 1.74% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.75% Total : 64.96% |
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